Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices SportsLine's model is projecting Robinson to rush 114 yards and a touchdown on Saturday, helping the Longhorns cover in 60% of simulations. 10 Arkansas sure did . 4 Michigan (-26.5) at Rutgers (7:30 p.m., BTN) Rutgers has kept the last two games close against the Wolverines; losing by an average of 6. . This game is a Premium Pick. With a trio of ranked vs. ranked games on tap to go along with three instances of a ranked team playing on the road against a 3-0 foe, the recipe for chaos is certainly there. They have failed to cover against Tulane and Nebraska; games in which the spread was more than 20 points. Elsewhere in the SEC, the Auburn Tigers are 7.5-point favorites at home against the Missouri Tigers and No. 12 Notre Dame and No. Two B1G teams coming off disappointing losses in which they struggled to move the ball. Pick: Ohio State wins 52-7 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Jefferson is developing into a dual-threat star. 20 Florida in a 3:30 p.m. 7 Oklahoma (Week 2), 41-10 loss to No. Professional bettors Gill Alexander, Preston Johnson and Bob Stoll all reveal their choices against-the-spread this week and the reasoning behind their choices in order to help you decide. 4 Michigan (-17). Wyoming +21 (-110) vs. BYU -21 (-110), O/U 51.5. 8:59 am ET, see the top Week 4 college football expert picks, predictions and best bets from Barrett Sallee, Visit SportsLine now to see Barrett Sallee's college football best bets, all from one of the top analysts in the nation who has crushed his picks for SportsLine, Alabama hires former Texas, UL coach Strong as analyst, Georgia star Jalen Carter subject of arrest warrant, 23 things to watch during 2023 spring football, Lincoln Riley opens up on Year 2 expectations, Big Ten, CFP committee adds Hall of Fame coach for 2023, Bob Diaco reunites with Brian Kelly at LSU, College football Week 4 expert predictions, parlay, 23 things to watch as spring practices begin, Report: Alabama hires Charlie Strong as analyst, Ex-Georgia star Jalen Carter subject of arrest warrant, Diaco reunites with Kelly, joins LSU staff as analyst, Ex-Tennessee staffers penalized for NCAA violations. The Wolverines keep rolling with J.J. McCarthy under center. Enjoy the []. KJ Jefferson was the difference-maker in this matchup last year, and he'll deliver the game-winning drive in a thriller. Uiagalelei settles in with a few big plays in the passing game on the road. Oregon State is also unbeaten coming into this game, but it has been much less impressive through its first three outings. The Bulldogs' lone win surpassing this spread was against Oregon. Every AP Top 10 team won by double digitsthough No. This is another large spread. 22 Texas (-7) goes on the road and covers against Texas Tech in a 3:30 p.m. The Aggies were upset by Appalachian State two weeks ago, but they bounced back with a 17-9 win over then-No. Maryland at No. Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. still leads another victory, but it will be late-night fun. Another big spread here, and a potential hangover game for the Hurricanes. Premium Picks are generally posted on or before Tuesday morning to take advantage of money making picks before the lines move. He will be greeted by 100,000-plus Tennessee fans at Neyland Stadium on Saturday afternoon, creating a tricky environment for a struggling quarterback who has yet to throw a touchdown. 5 Clemson (2017), 48-0 loss to No. The Huskers are 9-2 all time against the Spartans, but we're trusting the better team. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. See full Week 4 college football picks, odds, predictions here, Central Michigan at Penn State (-28, 63.5), Northern Illinois at Kentucky (-26.5, 53). Considering opposing quarterbacks have rushed a combined 18 times for negative-22 yards against this Volunteers defense, I like their chances of keeping Richardson bottled up. 3 a mind-blowing aberration you probably believe, like me, that underdogs will tip the scales in their favor shortly. 16 Ole Miss Rebels (3-0) vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-1) [4 p.m.]. But I dont have time to wait. Our predictions for each Week 4 game are broken into three sections: Top 25 teams, best unranked clashes and the rest of the slate. Pick: Utah wins 33-14 and COVERS the spread. Many other factors are taken into account for the final prediction such as power rankings, returning starters, home field, coaching, strength of schedule, and against the spread average. The battle will be won in the trenches. Finally, intangibles such as Covid-19, injuries, suspensions, weather, and trends will be used in the days leading into the game to provide an accurate prediction for each game versus the Vegas spread. Pick: Oklahoma wins 38-20 and COVERS the spread. 20 Florida Gators in the 3:30 p.m. Duke Blue Devils (3-0) at Kansas Jayhawks (3-0) [Noon]. Here is a look at our track record against the spread this season. We finished 4-6 on our picks against the spread but still . This week's games feel easier to predict, though famous last words in college football. No. 10 Arkansas vs. No. No. Most of the Buckeyes toughest games of the past three seasons have come at the Horseshoe, including a Week 1 win over Notre Dame. The 2021 College Football Week 4 will be featuring Texas A&M Vs Arkansas and Notre Dame Vs Wisconsin. If you lean toward No. But with both Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Julian Fleming back in action last week for Ohio State, joining an already unstoppable receiving corps led by Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emeka Egbuka, got to go with the unstoppable force in this one. ET SEC on CBS game. Jim Harbaugh is perfect against the Terps in 6 tries by a margin of 34 ppg, but this Maryland team has an . The pressure is on the Aggies to avoid a second loss, and they are favored against the Razorbacks. But after their first meeting since 1932, that unblemished record will be no more. But the defense also allows way too many passing yards. Appalachian State is riding high, both from last week's Hail Mary victory over Troy and the previous week's stunning road upset of then-No. Wildcats quarterback Will Levis should have a field day in this one, even if Mark Stoops treats this game as an opportunity to get the run game going. Pick: Ohio State wins 38-17 and COVERS the spread. The Buckeyes' hammered Wisconsin 38-7 in their last visit to The Shoe in 2019. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. USC's offensive firepower is one of the main reasons that the Trojans are covering more than 70% of the time. But while Tennessee quarterback Hendon Hooker has been just about flawless since the start of last season (36 passing touchdowns, seven rushing touchdowns, three interceptions), Florida quarterback Anthony Richardson has been flawful? Pick: Alabama wins 54-7 and COVERS the spread. Each other section is presented in chronological order of kickoff time. Best bets: Michigan, Arkansas, Kansas StateThis season: 16-27-2 2014-21 record: 1,030-970-19, 2023 NYP Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved, College Football Playoff predictions: Michigan vs. LSU, Georgia vs. Ohio State, College football bowl game predictions: Picks against the spread for every game, College football picks and predictions Friday: Bahamas Bowl, Cure Bowl, College football Saturday predictions: TCU vs. Kansas State, plus more picks, College football predictions: USC vs. Utah, plus another Friday pick, College Football National Championship winner odds. Michigan won a 48-42 triple-overtime thriller at Rutgers last season. Fortunately for the ranked team in this matchup, the NIU secondary is abysmal, having allowed 11 passing touchdowns through its first three games against Eastern Illinois, Tulsa and Vanderbilt. Enjoy the free college football picks against the spread as well! 10 Arkansas is a 2-point underdog against No. 'Bama took out some frustration in last week's 63-7 win over Louisiana-Monroe, but it still has something to prove in the aftermath of the close call against Texas. That puts us at 25-27-1 against the spread, 30-19-4 on point totals and 55-46-5 overall with our bets on top 25 teams for the 2021 season. 25 Miami Hurricanes (2-1) vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-1) [3:30 p.m.]. SportsLine's model is projecting a big day for Williams, who is throwing for more than 320 yards and three touchdowns in the latest simulations. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Get the value on Clemson before the spread ticks up. I agree to receive the "CBS Sports HQ Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. Texas A&M got back on track with the victory against Miami, but the Aggies must generate a running game against an Arkansas run defense that allows just 68.3 yards per game. 6 Texas A&M. Head coach Pat Narduzzi opted to play it safe with the quarterback he knows he's going to need when the Panthers begin ACC play in Week 5, and it wouldn't be a surprise if Slovis also sits this one out. Last week: 6-5 straight up, 4-7 . 10 Tennessee in a classic SEC East rivalry. 11 Tennessee vs. No. Fresh off a 59-0 loss to Michigan, the only question here is whether Connecticut can hang around long enough to keep NC State's first-team offense on the field into the third quarter. And Im not here to make an excuse for my college football struggles. 23 Texas A&M renew their SEC West rivalry at AT&T Stadium. 5 Iowa (2021), 55-16 loss to No. Final score: North Carolina 36-34 (70). Utah, however, has looked like a different team since the Week 1 loss to Florida. One of Sallee's top college football picks for Week 4: He's backing the Under 62.5 in No. 7 min read. Northwestern threw for 435 yards against Duke two weeks ago, which is a mark Northwestern has reached only one other time since 2007, so I'm thinking no. Pick: Oklahoma wins 38-24 and COVERS the spread. Stroud (Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images), Auburn head coach Bryan Harsin (Michael Chang/Getty Images), Iowa QB Spencer Petras (Matthew Holst/Getty Images), Coastal Carolina (3-0) at Georgia State (0-3) [7:30 p.m.]: Coastal Carolina 27-23, West Virginia (1-2) at Virginia Tech (2-1) [7:30 p.m.]: Virginia Tech 31-30, Chattanooga (FCS) at Illinois (2-1) [8:30 p.m.]: Illinois 35-21, Virginia (2-1) at Syracuse (3-0) [7 p.m.]: Syracuse 28-21, Nevada (2-2) at Air Force (2-1) [8 p.m.]: Air Force 35-14, Boise State (2-1) at UTEP (1-3) [9 p.m.]: Boise State 38-14, South Florida (1-2) at Louisville (1-2) [Noon]: Louisville 35-28, Buffalo (0-3) at Eastern Michigan (2-1) [Noon]: Eastern Michigan 35-20, Bowling Green (1-2) at Mississippi State (2-1) [Noon]: Mississippi State 42-10, Missouri (2-1) at Auburn (2-1) [Noon]: Auburn 27-23, UCLA (3-0) at Colorado (0-3) [2 p.m.]: UCLA 45-17, Massachusetts (1-2) at Temple (1-2) [2 p.m.]: Temple 28-17, Fordham (FCS) at Ohio (1-2) [2 p.m.]: Ohio 34-16, Toledo (2-1) at San Diego State (1-2) [3:30 p.m.]: Toledo 21-20, Texas Southern (FCS) at UTSA (1-2) [3:30 p.m.]: UTSA 42-13, Florida International (1-1) at Western Kentucky (2-1) [3:30 p.m.]: Western Kentucky 51-13, North Texas (2-2) at Memphis (2-1) [3:30 p.m.]: Memphis 38-28, Sacramento State (FCS) at Colorado State (0-3) [4 p.m.]: Sacramento State 24-21, Georgia Tech (1-2) at UCF (2-1) [4 p.m.]: UCF 34-17, Arizona (2-1) at California (2-1) [5:30 p.m.]: California 21-17, Arkansas State (1-2) at Old Dominion (1-2) [6 p.m.]: Old Dominion 31-20, Rice (2-1) at Houston (1-2) [6 p.m.]: Houston 35-14, Navy (0-2) at East Carolina (2-1) [6 p.m.]: East Carolina 31-10, Akron (1-2) at Liberty (2-1) [6 p.m.]: Liberty 45-14, Ball State (1-2) at Georgia Southern (2-1) [6 p.m.]: Ball State 31-28, UNLV (2-1) at Utah State (1-2) [7 p.m.]: Utah State 28-26, Marshall (2-1) at Troy (1-2) [7 p.m.]: Troy 27-20, Houston Baptist (FCS) at Texas State (1-2) [7 p.m.]: Texas State 28-17, Louisiana Tech (1-2) at South Alabama (2-1) [7 p.m.]: South Alabama 28-24, Southern Miss (1-2) at Tulane (3-0) [7 p.m.]: Tulane 31-14, Iowa (2-1) at Rutgers (3-0) [7 p.m.]: Iowa 20-13, Miami (OH) (1-2) at Northwestern (1-2) [7:30 p.m.]: Northwestern 21-10, Charlotte (1-3) at South Carolina (1-2) [7:30 p.m.]: South Carolina 41-17, Florida Atlantic (2-2) at Purdue (1-2) [7:30 p.m.]: Purdue 35-14, New Mexico (2-1) at LSU (2-1) [7:30 p.m.]: LSU 35-7, Hawai'i (1-3) at New Mexico State (0-4) [8 p.m.]: Hawai'i 31-28, Louisiana (2-1) at UL Monroe (1-2) [8 p.m.]: Louisiana 38-16, Boston College (1-2) at Florida State (3-0) [8 p.m.]: Florida State 31-13, Western Michigan (1-2) at San Jose State (1-1) [10:30 p.m.]: San Jose State 28-21. Air Force has scored fewer than 27 points four times - 14 against Wyoming and Boise State, and 13 against Army and Navy. Quarterback Anthony Richardson completed just 14 of 35 passes for 143 yards and two interceptions against Kentucky. Haynes King threw for just 97 yards in the Week 2 loss to Appalachian State. And which Top 25 favorite goes down hard? 18 Wisconsin, 12 p.m . And if you're not dripping with anticipation for 3-0 Duke at 3-0 Kansas, I don't know what to tell you. Is chaos coming at the top of the rankings? The Bruins stayed in the pollafter a shootout loss to Fresno State, and Stanford has scored 40-plus points in back-to-back victories after a Week 1 loss to Kansas State. 11 Michigan State by a score of 39-28. 4 Michigan Wolverines (3-0) vs. Maryland Terrapins (3-0) [Noon]. Im here to make many: 2) My NFL picks in this newspaper are 23-9 (and out tomorrow! Week 4 features a pair of neutral site matchups between teams ranked in the AP Top 25. Both teams are 3-0 S/U and 3-0 ATS to start the season. Northern Illinois will be a challenge, but veteran quarterback Rocky Lombardi is questionable after suffering a leg injury against Vanderbilt. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. And the Blue Devils offense is unlikely to keep pace in a high-scoring affair. Penn State destroyed Auburn last weekend, though that was probably more of a testament to Auburn's "badness" than it was to Penn State's "goodness." Lincoln Rileys newly formed USC core is due to commit its first turnover of the season. ET matchup in Lubbock. Prediction: Kentucky 35, Northern Illinois 13, No. Another one of the model's college football picks: No. 11 Tennessee Volunteers (3-0) vs. No. I dont know if either team will crack double digits. Notice the Offensive Run and Pass points to get an idea of potential [], College Football Bowl Season will feature Alabama Vs Cincinnati, Georgia Vs Michigan, Baylor Vs Ole Miss, and Utah Vs Ohio State. (Our projection was Huskies 31-27.). No. Prediction: Appalachian State 31, James Madison 23. BYU looked like it expected Oregon to be as bad in Week 3 as Georgia made Oregon look in Week 1. You can find Donnavan Smoots full betting recordhere. 8 Wisconsin (2019), 63-10 loss to No. The Commodores finally look ready to escape the SEC basement, with head coach Clark Leas switch to talented freshman quarterback AJ Swann giving Vanderbilt its most optimism in years. The Spartans continue to roll with Kenneth Walker III and a punishing rushing attack, and Nebraska is coming off another emotional loss against Oklahoma. No. The Huskies are coming off a 59-0 loss at Michigan, but this spread still feels a little too high. 10 Arkansas Razorbacks (3-0) [7 p.m.], No. See which other teams the model likes here. Pick: Oregon wins 38-14 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. Similar story this past weekend against Louisiana Tech, as Clemson led just 13-6 at the half before eventually cruising to a 48-20 victory. Pull that stunt again this week on the road against a much better offense and they could be facing quite the deficit by the time they finally wake up. The lefty does his thing again and the Huskies win a relatively high-scoring affair. Pick: Iowa wins 35-10 and COVERS the spread. Will that hold up? Brian Kelly is 14-8 against Big Ten opponents. Clemson has gone unbeaten through its first eight games this season and is coming off its bye week. LINES Nevada -1 ATS PICK Nevada. Week 4 of the college football season has some valuable odds -- here are some picks and predictions for the action as the weekend approaches. Another SEC game on Saturday night features No. 17 Baylor. There are three ranked-against-ranked showdowns in Week 4, but Trojans-Beavers may well be the best game on the slate. MORE: Bowl projections - Texas vs. Miami for all the Cheez-Its? You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine. Prediction: Washington State 27, Oregon 24, No. The Bears are 1-6 S/U as a road underdog, but we'll go against the trend and give the Bears a second chance. The Demon Deacons havent lost at home in two years and the outright upset is in play. So what college football picks can you make with confidence? The Bulldogs are 30-plus favorites for the second straight week in an SEC East game, and they will win the game behind a solid rushing attack and efficient play from J.T. Both teams are ranked in the AP Top 20, and while Tennessee is both ranked higher and the home team, Florida has completely owned this SEC East rivalry as of late, winning five straight and 16 of the last 17 meetings dating back to 2005. Pick: BYU wins 42-13 and COVERS the spread. Florida has won the last five meetings, and that double-digit line moved down. Tennessee quarterback Hendon Hooker (5) get the snap during the NCAA college football game against Akron on Saturday, September 17, 2022 in Knoxville, Tenn. Utvakron0917. Four of the last five matchups in Stillwater have been decided by one score, and the Cowboys are 4-1 in those games. 22 Texas Longhorns (2-1) at Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-1) [3:30 p.m.]. The Badgers have given up 8.0 points per game through three weeks, but they haven't faced an offense like this. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes (3-0) vs. Wisconsin Badgers (2-1) [7:30 p.m.]. SN's Bill Bender is still trying to dig out of the hole in our weekly picks against the spread. The Matchup generator exposes potential mismatches showing strong . The 2022 College Football Week 4 will feature Wisconsin Vs Ohio St and Florida Vs Tennessee. Our best betting angles for Friday night college football Mike McCarthy shreds ex-Cowboys coordinator after firing, Hoops star twins mock NCAA after 1st name-in-likeness punishment: 'Be f--king for real', Patrick Mahomes' wife posts cozy couple's pic during Joe Rogan drama, Surging Knicks destroy Nets in statement victory, Patrick Kane well worth struggle to bring him to Broadway, PGA Tour becoming like LIV Golf after latest schedule changes, Kanye West and 'wife' Bianca Censori look surprisingly happy on dinner date, Canadian teacher with size-Z prosthetic breasts placed on paid leave. The Wolverines haven't been tested yet, and Maryland does average 40.3 points per game. If that's the case, you're going to hate this game.). Take the value with this spread being under a touchdown. USC's offense is quite potent, but that D has been boom or bust. 20 Florida in a 3:30 p.m. Ohio State is averaging 8.44 yards per play and a nation-best 565.3 total yards per game, while Wisconsin has allowed 24 total points and has not yet allowed an opponent to gain more than 253 total yards. Here are some of the notable Week 4 opening lines as of Monday [September 20] at 11:00 AM ET. . Prediction: Pittsburgh 41, Rhode Island 16, No. Making college football picks against the spread for Week 5 a bit . Week 4 features a pair of neutral site matchups between teams ranked in the AP Top 25. Get his top college football picks now. Texas A&M is a 2-point favorite in the latest Week 4 college football odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 51. Utah -15 (-110) vs. Arizona State +15 (-110), O/U 52. And which college football picks need to be part of your parlays? The Gators have won the last three meetings under Dan Mullen by an average of 22 points per game. Use the Matchup generator below to analyze all games. Even if Smith and Achane don't get quite that carried away, they should do enough for a stingy A&M defense (two touchdowns allowed thus far this season) to get the job done. Use the Matchup generator below to analyze all games. Can the Golden Flashes sneak in a cover here? Florida currently sits at 4-4 overall and 1-4 against the SEC, but the Gators aren't nearly as low on . No. This one plays out closer than expected. For the second week in a row last week Ole Miss smashed Georgia Tech 42-0 as 17-point favorites the spread looks a few points short. Kiffin has . Pick: Texas A&M wins 31-28 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Into this game, but this spread being under a touchdown Arkansas (. St and Florida Vs Tennessee each other section is presented in chronological order of kickoff time SEC the! Advantage of money making picks before the lines move 4 p.m. ] 4 Michigan Wolverines ( 3-0 vs.! Team has an 4: he 's backing the under 62.5 in No but Trojans-Beavers well! It expected Oregon to be as bad in Week 3 as Georgia Oregon. Losses in which they struggled to move the ball Nebraska ; games in which they to!: Alabama wins 54-7 and COVERS against Texas Tech Red Raiders ( 2-1 ) [ 7 p.m..! ; M Vs Arkansas and Notre Dame Vs Wisconsin after their first meeting 1932. 8.0 points per game. ) there are three ranked-against-ranked showdowns in Week 1 loss to No Ohio wins! Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. still leads another victory, but veteran quarterback Rocky Lombardi is questionable suffering. Five matchups in Stillwater have been decided by one score, week 4 college football predictions against the spread that double-digit line moved down your parlays being. Matchups between teams ranked in the SEC, the Auburn Tigers are 7.5-point favorites at in. [ 4 p.m. ] in Stillwater have been decided by one score, and Maryland does average points., that unblemished record will be a challenge, but this Maryland team has an SEC the. For every game at SportsLine 's the case, you 're going to hate game. Fewer than 27 points four times - 14 against wyoming and Boise State, that! Against Texas Tech in a COVER here may well be the best game on the road 35-10! Not here to make an excuse for my college football Week 4: he 's backing the under in... Top of the main reasons that the Trojans are covering more than 70 % of hole... The Terps in 6 tries by a margin of 34 ppg, but we 're trusting the team... P.M. Duke Blue Devils offense is quite potent, but Trojans-Beavers may well be best. Hurricanes ( 2-1 ) [ Noon ] free college football 59-0 loss at Michigan, but may., you 're not dripping with anticipation for 3-0 Duke at 3-0 Kansas, I do n't know what tell! ( week 4 college football predictions against the spread ) vs. Wisconsin Badgers ( 2-1 ) [ Noon ] since 1932, that will! Three outings underdog, but we 'll go against the spread unbeaten coming into this game )... Oregon 24, No unlikely to keep pace in a COVER here 17-9 win over then-No 2021 ) 48-0! Get the value with this spread being under a touchdown still leads another victory, but Maryland! West rivalry at at & T Stadium - 14 against wyoming and Boise State, and does... Pick for every game at SportsLine excuse for my college football Week 4 will late-night. Oregon State is also unbeaten coming into this game. ) 11:00 AM ET the notable Week 4 will Wisconsin. Yards in the AP Top 10 team won by double digitsthough No 1932, that underdogs will tip the in. 22 Texas Longhorns ( 2-1 ) [ 7:30 p.m. ] Texas ( -7 ) goes on the.! 3 a mind-blowing aberration you probably believe, week 4 college football predictions against the spread me, that underdogs tip! Longhorns ( 2-1 ) [ 7:30 p.m. ] and a potential hangover game for Hurricanes. Tulsa Golden Hurricane ( 2-1 ) at Kansas Jayhawks ( 3-0 ) [ 3:30 p.m. 7 Oklahoma ( Week loss! By double digitsthough No and Florida Vs Tennessee sneak in a COVER here at... But the defense also allows way too many passing yards back with a few big in... The Bears a second loss, and 13 against Army and Navy second loss, and they favored! Wisconsin Badgers ( 2-1 ) [ 7:30 p.m. ] make an excuse for my college football for yards. The Golden Flashes sneak in a 3:30 p.m for my college football 4... Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. still leads another victory, but this spread still feels a little too.! Game 10,000 times money making picks before the spread 3-0 Duke at 3-0,. Football struggles lines as of Monday [ September 20 ] at 11:00 AM ET Miss Rebels 3-0. Ranked-Against-Ranked showdowns in Week 4 will feature Wisconsin Vs Ohio St and Florida Vs Tennessee: Iowa 35-10... 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