I dont watch TV. With all the inflation, its challenging, and can be tricky to run a business, Miller, 58, said. bellwether counties epoch times Once the two 2016 presidential candidates were locked in, she knew she couldnt vote for Clinton, while Trumps promise to drain the swamp piqued her interest. If this thing continues, were going to be paying $6 a gallon for gas, he said. Carol Jacobs and her husband were lifelong Democrats until 2016. (Cara Ding/The Epoch Times). We need election reform.. We have to stand and fight for the constitution our forefathers created. He was working on his neighbors lawn when he paused to talk to The Epoch Times. Enforce the ones that you do have, he said. bellwether counties epoch timesjury duty summons date vs reporting date Get Business Credit and Financing To Grow Your Business!!! Just off Interstate 75 at the Pemberville/Bowling Green exit, is Frickers, a popular eatery and gathering place for people of all ages, whereChris Chamberlin ofBowling Green works as the restaurants manager. Instead of guns and bullets, hes bringing our troops home, hes ending wars. Right now, its horrible. Recently, the company needed to find a part for one of its trucks, and it actually located the only part available in the United States and was able to get it. High scoring bellwether counties in these regions tend to border other high scoring counties, unlike their counterparts in the South and West, which tend to see high scoring bellwethers somewhat isolated from each other. In West Terre Haute, across the Wabash River from Terre Haute, Bobby Tisdell, a 38-year-old forklift driver, plans to cast his first vote on Election Day. Terry Titchner, 70, said hes voting for Biden because he doesnt trust Trump. Shortened URL for this post:https://bit.ly/3JzjZ3j. Its the rural American, pro-life, pro-Second Amendment county that gave the edge to Barack Obama in 2008. For Tisdell, the two major issues that weigh on his mind this year are the riots and the pandemic. Swept up in unproven voter fraud claims, the Shasta County Board of Supervisors has upended the county's election process, canceling its contract with . President Trump won every single bellwether county, except Clallam County in Washington. The last time Ottawa County deviated from its winning choice for president was in 1960 when the county supported Republican Richard Nixon, but Democrat John F. Kennedy won. Michael Sakal is a former reporter for The Epoch Times. He isnt happy that Biden called Trump names during the first debate. Wood Countyaswith Ottawa County, its neighbor to the east along Lake Erieis filled with farm fields, is home to many military veterans (about 7,000 of them), and hasnt seen much expansion or change since the late 1970s or early 1980s. But, just within the last year, the price of everything has gone up. When he became a Christian, he struggled with his unions blind support for Democratic candidates, most of whom arent pro-life, he said. What you need to know, summarized in one email. The county is more white than the rest of the nationabout, nationally, according to census data. Finally, numerical bellwether scores for all 3142 counties in the US were computed based upon the number of . Jeff Myers, a lifelong Vigo County resident in Riley, on the other hand, wont let the big events of the day, such as riots and the pandemic, determine his vote. And we just want that to continue. The insulting back and forth really bothers me about any candidate, Myers said. I quit voting once out of the union.. We use cookies on this site to understand how you use our content, and to give you the best browsing experience. Understanding the I-4 corridor's bellwether mojo requires defining the area. The All-Or-Nothing Bellwether: These are states or counties that choose the national winner every time. Timeline: Rep. Jim Jordan, a Systematic Disinformation Campaign, and The updated report showed that Biden won 509 counties, while Trump won 2,547 counties. Data de l'entrada martin county clerk of court jobs; whats wrong secretary kim dramawiki . The bellwether scores map highlights the fact that many states have a good bellwether county or two, even if they did not make the list of the 19 counties which have always voted for the winning candidate, they said. Longtime Bowling Green resident Doug Miller, a conservative and Donald Trump supporter who works as a chief operating officer for a heavy-duty trucking company in nearby Fremont, said the company, which was heavily affected during the pandemic, is still navigating challenges. Four City Technologies makes the lock-tight coatings on the threads of the components. Greg Abbott of Texas as a possible presidential candidate. More importantly, someone needs to be in office who understands that running the country is like running a business, said Hawker, who worked as a staff engineer for Bendix Braking Systems in Elyria for 52 years. What Should Fiscal and Social Policy in a Sustainable Economy Look Like? We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. DATA: Trump Won 95% Of Bellwether Counties, Making Biden Win The median household annual income is approximately, In 2016, nearly 100 million eligible Americans didnt vote. Your email address will not be published. Now, just because my president is Republican, I expected a swing to the right, but what we have nowthey broke the whole pendulum. It doesnt matter whether you are a Republican or a Democrat, youre going to get a crook. The ongoing coronavirus restrictions seem to be nudging people to the right, but six weeks out from the election and with the October surprises still to come, the Keystone State could be the clincher for either candidate. dionisia pacquiao net worth; leer un archivo excel en sql server; alix pasquet iii relationship; american gold eagle type 1 vs type 2; sniper spotting scope; No one who spoke to The Epoch Times had anything positive to say about Wolfs continued shutdowns in the state. Weve always had a mix of voters, Baumgardner added. Kyiv City Ballet US Premiere | Dance at Northrop Third, it lists the fraction of bellwether counties each candidate won Obama at 18 of 19, Trump at 18 of 19 and Biden at one of 19. It swung from Barack Obama in 2012 to Donald Trump in 2016, and political science professor Matthew Bergbower says its something akin to a purple county.. Nothing is free, Hawker said. It will cycle through. Rural white America is principally Trump, and they are ripe for conspiracy theories. When you were in the union, they always wanted you to vote for Democrats, Paul said. I vote for whomever I think is going to do the better job, whether they are a Democrat or a Republican. She registered as a Democrat about 40 years ago and has never bothered to change her affiliation, although she voted for Trump in 2016 and plans to do the same this year. He predicts that many Trump voters will start to waver in the weeks leading up to the election and will end up not voting. Martin thinks the Democrats could have chosen a better candidate than Biden. We need to finish putting up the wall that Trump started. We were as far down to five cooks last year. Theyre scared. Since Trump got voted in, it was when I started getting into politics, Tisdell told The Epoch Times while sitting in his garage. A 75-year-old retiree who owned a transportation and logistics business didnt want to be named and told The Epoch Times hes been skeptical of government since he was 30. Chamberlin, who has worked for the regional chain for 17 years, estimates he has saved about $2,000 in gas over the past year. TERRE HAUTE, Ind.For well over a century, voters in Vigo County, Indiana, have backed the winner in almost every presidential election. I just think theres going to be a lot of problems if he doesnt become our president all the violence and the riots. High scoring bellwether counties in these regions tend to border other high-scoring counties, unlike their counterparts in the South and West, which tend to see high scoring bellwethers somewhat isolated from each other. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. I cant lead that kind of lifestyle.. Former President Trump and his supporters continue to loudly assert that he really won the 2020 election even though all the alleged direct evidence of fraud has not passed the sniff test of local courts, including those with Republican judges. Im not happy with either party. Ottawa County along Lake Erie in northwest Ohio had one of the nation's longest streaks of supporting the presidential candidate who won the White House. The counties tend to be clustered in the Midwest and the Northeast, with only four of the counties not falling into one of those regions, they said. In both of the missteps, the residents wrongly picked the losing Democrat: Williams Jennings Bryan over President William Taft in 1908 and Adlai Stevenson over President Dwight Eisenhower in 1952. What are they going to do about gun rights? he said. Hes concerned a Biden administration would mean an end to fracking, higher gas prices, and utility bill hikes. (Charlotte Cuthbertson/The Epoch Times) By Charlotte. A number of fertilizer plants closed across the country last year due to natural gas shortages. Fifteen percent is a very large gap to close, he said. But what would be striking is for it to end so radically. Westmoreland County, Virginia, is almost one third black. Ive got opinions, but I just dont voice them, I keep to myself, he said, adding that its better for business. But its still anyones game when taking into account the 1.2 million unaffiliated or other-party voters and the roughly 70 percent voter turnout. I think its very political right now, honestly. It is as if the devastating rebuttals by Tufte in Data Analysis for Politics and Policy or the equally devastating review of the evidence in David A. Hopkins 2017 book Red Fighting Blue never happened. Election Results 2014: The Bellwethers - The New York Times He was an apprentice and then a journeyman in a local steamfitters union for about 10 years before he was laid off. Not as large or as well-known as its more eastern cousin, Luzerne County, where much of the election attention has been focused, Elk County is just as accurate in predicting who will be the next commander in chief. And then you have the Biden folks that are like, This is just nutty,' he said. That is, until this year. Nestled along Lake Erie in the northwest of. I think a lot of us are fighting against socialism. Bellwethers ability to predict the winner has been attributed to a large population of voters willing to switch party preference from one election to the next. Hawker said although Ottawa County tends to lean more Republican, he has noticed that a lot of senior citizens who are Democrats have moved into the area. Bellwether Counties Historical Performance 1984 to 2020 Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. I dont listen to the news. We need to make ourselves energy independent again. And its never going to come back.. Thats part of what has made it an effective bellwether, at least in recent decades, he said. March 1, 2022 Updated: March 3, 2022 Print It could be said that Ottawa County is one of the top bellwether counties in Ohio, if not the country. We could also simply update our list of bellwether counties to reflect the new results. Many of its residents include farmers, retirees who love to fish, and more than 3,300 military veterans. Michael Sakal is a former reporter for The Epoch Times. In 2020, Vigo went for Trump by nearly 15 points, roughly the same as in 2016. Note: This article gives the views of the author, and not the position of USAPP American Politics and Policy, nor the London School of Economics. Im not happy with the way things are now. Its going to cause stealing, probably more riots, and all that., Weve had flu around forever, different strains of it. The unequal geographic distribution is a somewhat curious phenomenon of bellwether counties. Bremer County, Iowa Opinion | The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How - The New York Times It also has a failing manufacturing sector with once Democratic-leaning union workers who may have found Trumps America First message appealing in recent years. But, he said, most mainstream politicians dont represent rural America, and issues such as boys that identify as girls and then compete in girls high school sports just smack of stupid., The economy and taxes are important issues to him, but the question he asks of the candidate is, Does this person care about my family?. I dont feel good about the leadership in our country right now.. July 4, 2022 bellwether counties epoch timesdid benjamin franklin help write the declaration of independencedid benjamin franklin help write the declaration of independence We can place an order and immediately get an email back of what they dont have. It also has a failing manufacturing sector with once Democratic-leaning union workers who may have found Trumps America First message appealing in recent years. Why are you trying so hard to get this one guy out of office? he said of the disproven Russian collusion accusations and the presidents impeachment. Now the places emerging as possible new bellwethers have more racially diverse populations. Thats probably the biggest fear right now when I talk to people. In Ridgway, Biden supporters were more difficult to find and more reluctant to talk than Trump supporters, but a few yard signs were dotted around. Miller cited seeing some retail and light industrial development around the county in recent yearsa Bass Pro Shops store in Bowling Green, a 1 million-square-foot expansion for First Solar in Perrysburg in 2018, and downtown revitalization in Bowling Green. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Sawyer County, Wisconsin, and Clallam County, Washington, have substantial Native American populations, the authors said. He considers Trump pro-life. Of their nineteen bellwethers, only Essex County, Vermont can be considered as a political competitive county. This includes personalizing content and advertising. When Republican Dr. Ted Bowlus defeated Democrat Joel Kuhlman in the 2016 election, it completed a single-party commission. Now, being more than $3 a gallon, people are beginning to notice it more as its putting a pinch on their wallets. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. One such claim is that Trumps victories in 2020 in the vast bulk of the counties that had previously been labeled as bellwethers proved that Trump really won the election and was denied the victory because of fraud. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. Just like a hurricane, you can try to prepare for it the best you can, but you never know what kind of damage it is going to cause. Richard Zulch, an Army veteran who served in Vietnam as a combat engineer from 1969 through 1971 and is the quartermaster for Veterans of Foreign Wars Post 4811 in Bowling Green, said he has been able to see the political landscape from both sides of the fence. This includes personalizing content and advertising. Paul hopes that one day he can save enough money to buy himself a car, so he can drive to Florida and reunite with his family. Thats a highly Democratic area, but people see whats going on and theyre not happy, Sam said. I got a life. In a 2020 article, Daniel Zimny-Schmitt and Michael Harris look for bellwether counties in the period 1980-2016 and identify nineteen such. Even Heidi Mackey, the clerk inside the station who said she hasnt voted since 2018, said shell likely vote in the May 3 primary. We need creative leadership, Miller said. But you cant winem all, Beggs, 80, told The Epoch Times. He didnt vote in 2016 either. We believe that there are two main reasons. In 2020, amid widespread accusations of Democrat cheating, these bellwethers were not even close checking in at a mind-blowing 6%! Its a county where the residents are proud of its powdered metal factories and where the Ford F-Series is as ubiquitous as the American flag. The candidate who curiously outperformed the bellwether counties? Trump There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000; Trump won 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. Also, spare a thought for Webster County in Georgia. 0:00 0:00. The unhappiness and unsatisfactory conditions have spread similar to the way COVID-19 has, a truck driver by the name of Sam, who also was at Wee Willys, told The Epoch Times. Getting fertilizer can be a challenge.. When gas went up that time, our sales went down to zero, Zulch said. Were a service industry-oriented area. Carol Jacobs in Ridgway, Elk County, Penn., on Sept. 17, 2020. Petr Svab is a reporter covering New York. Donald Trump Won Record 16 Bellwether Counties - Swarajyamag Every time you pass a law, the government becomes more oppressive. (Charlotte Cuthbertson/The Epoch Times). Here's why. He won nineteen-to-twenty bellwether counties. She sees the economy, trade, China, and the Middle East peace deal as top issues. Half the people are just wearing rags on top of their face. I am under that impression. Because of the current situation, I have to look at our finances and say, Can I get this new truck, can I hire these two to three new employees, can we go into this new line of business? They also found that high-scoring counties exhibit a geographic trend. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. The Upper Mississippi River Valley and it [sic] surrounding area, in particular, appears to be an epicenter of these high-scoring bellwethers., Teresa Shepherd, resident of the Indiana bellwether county of Vigo, in front of her daughters house in Seelyville, Ind., on Oct. 20, 2020. He has since assessed each candidate on their moral stances, he said, rather than by party affiliation. Fact check: Joe Biden won most votes ever and fewest counties - USA TODAY March 1, 2023 8:28 PM PT. Median household incomes range from $65,000 in Bremer County, Iowa, to $32,000 in Hidalgo County, New Mexico. He said hes had trouble getting a job for much of his life, because he was found guilty of a felony drug offense as a young man.

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